Christmas Tree Farm Economics: Planting Cohorts, Survival & Grade Mix, Years to Harvest, Cost per Tree, Choose-and-Cut vs Wholesale Pricing, the December Rush and the Cash-Flow J-Curve
Plan a fictional Christmas tree farm that pays back over many years. You will lay out planting cohorts, follow survival and grades, schedule harvests by height, build a full cost per tree, compare choose-and-cut, lot and wholesale prices, staff the December weekends and trace the long cash-flow J-curve to payback, with every cell checked as you go.
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About this course
In this course you plan a fictional Christmas tree farm in a spreadsheet. You turn a field and its spacing into trees per hectare and yearly planting cohorts for a rolling harvest, follow a cohort through compounding survival rates and a grade mix, and use COUNTIFS on sample heights to schedule a selective harvest. You cost establishment and care passes as hours and money, add a carrying cost to get the growing cost per tree, compare choose-and-cut, pre-cut lot and wholesale margins with XLOOKUP and SUMPRODUCT, size staff and parking for the December weekends with WEEKDAY, trace the cash-flow J-curve with NPV, IRR and a chart, and finish with a steady-state P&L, break-even price and scenarios.
Lessons
- The Planting Plan: Spacing, Trees per Hectare and Yearly Cohorts Pro
- Survival and Grade Mix: From Seedlings to Saleable Trees Pro
- Years to Harvest: Sample Heights and the Harvest Schedule Pro
- Cost per Tree: Establishment, Care Passes and Carrying Cost Pro
- Channel Pricing: Choose-and-Cut, Pre-Cut Lot and Wholesale Pro
- The December Rush: Weekends, Visitor Groups, Staff and Parking Pro
- The Cash-Flow J-Curve: Cumulative Cash, NPV, IRR and Payback Pro
- Capstone: Steady-State Rotation, P&L, Break-Even Price and Scenarios Pro