Elo ratings: expected score, K-factor & rating update
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Lessons in this course
- League table from match results: points, goal difference & tiebreaksFree
- Per-90 and per-game stats: fair comparisons Pro
- Shooting efficiency: eFG% and true shooting % (basketball) Pro
- Expected goals (xG): sums, over- and under-performance Pro
- Elo ratings: expected score, K-factor & rating update Pro
- Pythagorean expectation: win % from points for and against Pro
- Player comparison: z-scores & a weighted composite score Pro
- Home advantage & match prediction with Poisson goals Pro